We have a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East. Within minutes, the ceasefire was broken by Iran. Shortly thereafter, there was a reaction by Israel. I am afraid that my confidence in the longevity of this ceasefire is tenuous at best. The markets, however, have reacted positively, for the time
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has done something unusual: it pushed oil above $100, stoked inflation, and removed the “rate cut eventually” floor from metals. Gold can’t play its traditional dual role as both an inflation hedge and a rate-cut beneficiary when the Fed is forced to stay hawkish. That’s
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