Well, despite the torrential speculation of a revaluation of the gold price, MY AI says the following. Is it the smartest? Who knows?

What Does “Gold Price Revaluation” Mean?

A gold price revaluation refers to the adjustment of the official (accounting) value of national gold reserves to reflect current market prices. For instance, U.S. reserves are still recorded at about $42.22 per ounce, even though the actual market value exceeds $3,000 per ounce, resulting in a massive accounting gap DiscoveryAlertGoldSilverInvesting.comForbes.

What Do Analysts Say About Its Likelihood?

1. Speculative Signals and Analyst Commentary

Several media sources and market analysts have suggested that such a revaluation is being discussed in economic and policy circles. These include references in blogs, trading-focused sites, and interviews hinting at the potential for revaluation, especially amid growing sovereign debt concerns DiscoveryAlertITMTradingForbesGoldSilver. However, these are speculative interpretations, not formal predictions.

2. Timing and Political Economy Considerations

A more analytical take suggests that if such a revaluation were ever to occur in the U.S., the timing would likely align with political motivations—perhaps near the end of a presidential term (e.g., 2028) for short-term political gains. From this perspective, the prospect of it happening within the current year is considered quite low Investing.com.

3. Historical and Global Precedents

Revaluations are not unheard of in global central banking. In cases where countries hold gold reserves at historic cost, some have opted to revalue them closer to market rates, using the accounting gains to support government balance sheets—though often these moves were short-lived and didn’t resolve deeper fiscal issues Federal Reserve.

So What’s the Actual Probability?

There’s no publicly available quantitative estimate of the probability for a gold revaluation. Instead:

• Speculative chatter exists, but lacks formal, data-driven probability models.
  
• Experts note that political incentives make immediate revaluation unlikely—especially mid-term.
  
• Historical patterns show occasional revaluations, but these are context-specific and not predictive.
  

Essentially, it’s more of a theoretical scenario—one that’s occasionally discussed but not widely quantified in probability terms.

Bottom Line

• No official or widely accepted probability exists.
  
• Discussions about a gold revaluation are speculative and often tied to fiscal and political motivations.
  
• For the U.S., many analysts consider a near-term revaluation (this year or next) to be unlikely—with more plausible timing near future political cycles.
  
• Historical precedent indicates revaluation is possible—but rare and typically short-lived.

My opinion: In this particular case I have made no alterations to Chat GPT. I agree that a revaluation is most unlikely. A one time revaluation to a significant enough number would be devastating to the dollar, (basically a devaluation of the dollar), perhaps we could see a revaluation to current levels, a drop in the ocean relative to the outstanding debt. 

Would the US want to bolster the value of its rivals’ gold holdings for control of world currency? Who holds the most gold? On the surface, China. Is the US sitting on massive holdings taken from previous wars, maybe gold hidden in the Grand Canyon, perhaps planeloads from the Vatican? Maybe they have an ace up their sleeves.

I do not see the US giving up its hegemony over currency control easily. The cost to the US citizen would be exorbitant.

• Current debt $37.256 Trillion
• Revalue to $3000 would make the debt $36.22 T
• Revalue to $5000 would make the debt $35.70 T
• Revalue to $10000 would make the debt $34.40 T

At $3,000/oz: accounting gain ≈ $0.77T (~2.6% of GDP). If fully used to retire debt, Debt/GDP improves from ~122% → 119%. Annual interest saved is $7.7B per 1% average coupon on the retired amount.

At $5,000/oz: gain ≈ $1.30T (~4.3% of GDP). Debt/GDP ~122% → 118%. Interest saved $13.0B per 1% coupon.

At $10,000/oz: gain ≈ $2.60T (~8.6% of GDP). Debt/GDP ~122% → 113%. Interest saved $26.0B per 1% coupon.

In all, an insignificant improvement with major ramifications for the US. Would I buy gold now? Yes. Would I expect a revaluation? No. Do I think it is a great way to preserve wealth? Yes. Who knows what the intentions of the powers that be are? Will we be informed? Unlikely.

I would love your feedback.

PLATINUM

SELL: (20 June 2025). PLAT touched the Fibonacci retracement. It is bouncing off it. No buy signal yet.

URANIUM

SELL: (30 July 2025) URA. No buy signal yet.

BITCOIN AND GOLD

BUY Gold versus Bitcoin (19 August 2025). Gold outperforms Bitcoin.

ETHUSD: SELL: (18 August 2025).

BTCUSD: SELL: 15 August 2025.  NASDAQ (Cyan).

GOLD AND SILVER STOCKS

Gold stocks outperforming gold  (23 July 2025).  Gold stocks outperform gold. Looking oversold, turning.

Silver stocks outperform silver (1 August 2025). Looking oversold, turning.

GOLD AND SILVER

Silver to Gold Ratio

Silver outperforming Gold. (Signal given 13 August 2025)  When we think that silver is coming out of the ground at about 8:1 and the Gold:Silver ratio is 88.7, something is way out of kilter. Silver is an astounding buy at this time or gold is in for an extremely heavy correction.

GOLD TO USD

USD outperforms Gold, (15 August 2025).

A LOOK AT THE GOLD AND SILVER

Gold’s low of the week was $3,310.00 and the high was $3,358.00, now trading at around $3,340.00.

• Gold Monthly:  is a hold. We bought in at $1,800.00 in October 2023.  Looking overbought, but it can hold that situation for a while. No sell signal yet. Rate of change has turned negative.  (Chart below).
• Gold Weekly:  (SELL 12 May 2025)   The sell indicators were very early, but I see no signs of recovery at this point. We have mixed signals. The indicators are looking more negative. The weekly price is moving sideways with a small upward bias.
• Gold Daily: (SELL 12 August 2025). Indicators appear to be turning up.

The low for Silver this week was $36.96 and the high $38.27, trading around 37.90 at present.

• Silver Monthly: Hold. (Buy:  $24.00 March 2024). Looking overbought but positive flows of cash into the metal. ( Chart below).
• Silver Weekly: (SELL 28 July 2025). Spike high still not eclipsed. Indicators turning up. Rate of change still negative.
• Silver Daily: SELL (25 July 2025).  It looked like a buy signal was forming. It has since turned negative.

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A video by Mike Adams on the Goldbacks. 

Well worth a look!

On the Stockcharts.com charts, the blue vertical lines are our proprietary system buy signals and the red vertical lines are system sell signals – for information purposes only

An interview with Josh, owner of Scottsdale Mint:

Please contact us to arrange the purchase and storage of your gold and silver requirements in a safe, insured location outside of your jurisdiction.

If you are interested in an overview of Fort Kobbe, you may want to have a look at this video: Mike Brown, Director, Fort Kobbe, International Vaults, A DotCom Magazine Exclusive Interview

This is my interpretation of the market and is not to be taken as financial advice. Before making any buy or sell decisions I recommend that you consult with your professional financial advisor.