A look at the Gold and Silver Charts (10.07.2025)

Debt down to the cliff cartoon

I wonder what the reaction of investors would be if countries produced the real economic statistics. If we were given real GDP or real unemployment figures or real inflation rates or real debt levels. 

In my opinion people would invest with more confidence. I understand that countries do it in order to hide bad numbers. Investors have a pretty good perception of reality. Not everyone is sucked into the lie.

Debt, not only in the US, is unmanageable and more than likely unpayable. When the interest on debt equals or exceeds military expenditure and more, the prospects for the economy are bleak. Interest on US debt for 2025 estimate is $1.1Trillion, which exceeds defence spending.

Many years ago I read that all debt is paid: either by the borrower or by the lender. 

Failure on the scale of worldwide borrowings, ensures failure of the system, tearing down the bond and stock markets.

The real question is what will replace it, and will it be better or worse for us, the average citizens? I do not have a warm feeling in my tummy.

From Weiss Ratings

Gold Continuos - May 13th

Watch more about here

Year to date, gold has outperformed Bitcoin, S&P and Nasdaq.

The Buffett Indicator is the US Stock Market value to GDP

The Buffett Indicator is the US Stock Market value to GDP. When the indicator is over two standard deviations from the norm, it is time to be very wary of the stock markets.

SELL: (20 June 2025).  We got a buy at $977.00 it is trading now at $1312.00. 34% A great run. Some, but not all signals are indicating a sell. In view of the profit I will go with the sell signal now. We can always buy in later with another buy signal.

SELL: (18 June 2025) URA Spike high triggers a sell. There has been a slight recovery this week, but the price has not exceeded the spike high of last week.

URA global X Uranium ETF 2025-07-10

BUY Bitcoin versus gold (25 June 2025). Gold underperforms Bitcoin.

$BTCUSD:$GOLD Bitcoin to US dollar/Gld CRYPT 10 July 2025

ETHUSD: BUY: 2 July 2025.

$ETHUSD Ethereum to US Dollar 10 July 2025

BTCUSD: BUY: 25 JUNE 2025.  NASDAQ (Cyan). This is an extremely early signal. Let’s see how it works out.

$BTCUSD Bitcoin to US dollar CRYPT 10 July 2025

Gold outperforming gold stocks  (10 June 2025).

$GOLD:GDX Gold - Contract (EOD)/VanEck 10 July 2025

Silver outperforms silver stocks (17 June 2025).

$SILVER - SIL Silver- Continuous Contract (EOD) Global X Silver Miners ETF 10 July 2025

Silver to Gold Ratio

Silver is outperforming Gold. (Signal given 22 April 2025)  When we think that silver is coming out of the ground at about 8:1 and the Gold:Silver ratio is 91.85, something is way out of kilter. Silver is an astounding buy at this time or gold is in for an extremely heavy correction. Indicators portend a change to gold outperforming silver, but no definitive signals yet.

$GOLD:$SILVER Gold Continuous Contract - (EOD) Silver - continuous 10 July 2025

Gold outperforms USD (28 May 2025). Gold is turning up against USD. Will this hold? Indicators do not think so. The RSI is holding us in a buy for now.

$GOLD:$USD Gold - Continuous Contract (EOD) CME 10 July 2025

TodayLast Week
Gold Price$3,315.00$3,324.00
Silver Price$36.54$36.62
Gold:Silver ratio90.73:190.76:1
Gold Miners bullish percent index78.5785.71
Dollar Index96.9997.38
Dow:Gold Ratio (BahaUS 44,486.00 Gold price, $3,315.00)13.4113.39
Current USA inflation rate (Dept. of Statistics)2.3%2.4%

Gold’s low of the week was $3,282.00 and the high was $3,345.00, now trading at around $3,310.00.

  • Gold Monthly:  is a hold. We bought in at $1,800.00 in October 2023. Funds flows into the metal are substantial.  Looking overbought, but it can hold that situation for a while. No sell signal yet. (Chart below). 
  • Gold Weekly:  (SELL 12 May 2025)   The sell indicators were very early, but I see no signs of recovery at this point. We have mixed signals. The indicators are looking more negative. 
  • Gold Daily: (SELL 23 April 2025). In view of the spike high not being exceeded, the sell signal remains in place. The candles have turned up but no buy yet. The price has increased but is looking overbought and indicators negative. Price trending sideways.

$GOLD Gold - Continuous Contract (EOD) CME0 10 July 2025

The low for Silver this week was $36.15 and the high $37.00, trading around $36.50 at present.

  • Silver Monthly: Hold. (Buy:  $24.00 March 2024). Looking overbought but positive flows of cash into the metal. (Chart below).
  • Silver Weekly: (BUY 14 April 2025). Looking overbought. No sell signal. 
  • Silver Daily: SELL (24 June 2025).  Indicators confirming the sell.

$SILVER Silver - Continuous Contract (EOD) CME 9 July2025

Our partner has stock of both gold, silver and Goldbacks in our vaults available in Panama. Please contact us for more information.

Goldback-official-distributor
On the Stockcharts.com charts, the blue vertical lines are our proprietary system buy signals and the red vertical lines are system sell signals – for information purposes only

An interview with Josh, owner of Scottsdale Mint: Watch here

Please contact us to arrange the purchase and storage of your gold and silver requirements in a safe, insured location outside of your jurisdiction.

If you are interested in an overview of Fort Kobbe, you may want to have a look at this video: Mike Brown, Director, Fort Kobbe, International Vaults, A DotCom Magazine Exclusive Interview
This is my interpretation of the market and is not to be taken as financial advice. Before making any buy or sell decisions I recommend that you consult with your professional financial advisor.
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Larry Simon
Larry Simon

Larry Simon was educated at the University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa and is an experienced businessman specialised in management, investment and finance.

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