A look at the Gold and Silver Charts (03.07.2025)

cartoon chaos illustration

Gold and silver are certain to be the saviours of the financial system as chaos reigns in the financial markets. Interest rate fights, President Trump against Jerome Powell, bond markets uncertain as a result. Stock prices being pushed this way and that. Gold and silver will once again have to bring stability to the markets.

Navigating a Changing Economic Landscape

The enduring appeal of gold and silver as stores of value and hedges against uncertainty continues to shape their future trajectory. While their roles as precious metals remain constant, the economic and geopolitical landscapes are ever-evolving, influencing how these metals will perform in the years to come.

Key Drivers for the future of Gold and Silver

  • Inflationary Pressures: Persistent global inflation, fueled by supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and expansive fiscal policies, could bolster demand for gold and silver as traditional inflation hedges. Investors often turn to these metals when the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes.
  • Monetary Policy Shifts: Central bank decisions regarding interest rates and quantitative easing/tightening will significantly impact the future of gold and silver. A prolonged period of low-interest rates or renewed quantitative easing could reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like precious metals, making them more attractive. Conversely, aggressive rate hikes might temper their appeal. This may be transitory depending on the rate of inflation.
  • Geopolitical Instability: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts, trade wars, and political uncertainty historically drive investors towards safe-haven assets. As global tensions persist, gold and silver are likely to maintain their status as reliable havens during times of crisis.
  • U.S. Dollar Strength: The inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and precious metals is a critical factor. A sustained weakening of the dollar could make gold and silver more affordable for international buyers, increasing demand and potentially pushing prices higher.
  • Industrial Demand: While gold is primarily an investment asset, silver has significant industrial applications in electronics, solar panels, and medical devices. The growth of these industries, particularly in the renewable energy sector, could provide a stable demand base for silver.
  • Mining Supply and ESG Factors: Future supply will be influenced by new discoveries, mining costs, and increasingly, by environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations. Stricter regulations and a focus on sustainable practices could impact production levels and costs, potentially influencing prices.
  • Digitalization and Innovation: The emergence of digital currencies and blockchain technology could present both challenges and opportunities. While some argue that cryptocurrencies could compete with gold as a digital store of value, others see potential for integration or new financial products that incorporate precious metals.

Challenges and Opportunities

The future of gold and silver is not without its challenges. The rise of alternative investment vehicles, potential for deflationary spirals, and the inherent volatility of commodity markets can all influence their performance. However, opportunities abound for those who understand the nuances of these markets. Diversification benefits, hedging capabilities, and the potential for capital appreciation during periods of economic uncertainty continue to make gold and silver compelling assets.

Conclusion

The future of gold and silver appears intertwined with the evolving global economic and political landscape. While predicting exact price movements is impossible, the fundamental drivers supporting their value as safe havens and inflation hedges remain strong. Investors and analysts will continue to closely monitor economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and technological advancements to navigate the promising yet complex future of these enduring precious metals.

SELL: (20 June 2025).  We got a buy at $977.00 it is trading now at $1312.00. 34% A great run. Some, but not all signals are indicating a sell. In view of the profit I will go with the sell signal now. We can always buy in later with another buy signal.

$PLAT Platinium Continuous 2025-07-03

SELL: (18 June 2025) URA Spike high triggers a sell. There has been a slight recovery this week, but the price has not exceeded the spike high of last week.

URA global X Uranium ETF 2025-07-03

SELL bitcoin versus gold (13 June 2025). Gold outperforms Bitcoin. I am reluctant to change the signal as the indicators are reversing again to sell.

$BTCUSD:$GOLD Bitcoin to US dollar/Gld CRYPT 03 July 2025

ETHUSD: BUY: 2 July 2025.

$ETHUSD Ethereum to US Dollar 03 July 2025

BTCUSD: BUY: 25 JUNE 2025.  NASDAQ (Cyan). This is an extremely early signal. Let’s see how it works out.

$BTCUSD Bitcoin to US dollar CRYPT 03 July 2025

Gold outperforming gold stocks  (10 June 2025).

$GOLD:GDX Gold - Contract (EOD)/VanEck 03 July 2025

Silver outperforms silver stocks (17 June 2025).

$SILVER - SIL Silver- Continuous Contract (EOD) Global X Silver Miners ETF 03 July 2025

Silver to Gold Ratio

Silver outperforming Gold. (Signal given 22 April 2025)  When we think that silver is coming out of the ground at about 8:1 and the Gold:Silver ratio is 91.85, something is way out of kilter. Silver is an astounding buy at this time, or gold is in for an extremely heavy correction. Indicators portend a change to gold outperforming silver, but no definitive signals yet.

$GOLD:$SILVER Gold Continuous Contract - (EOD) Silver - continuous 03 July 2025

Gold outperforms USD, (28 May 2025). Gold turning up against USD. Will this hold, indicators do not think so.

$GOLD:$USD Gold - Continuous Contract (EOD) CME 03 July 2025

TodayLast Week
Gold Price$3,324.00$3,337.00
Silver Price$36.62$36.66
Gold:Silver ratio90.76:190.99:1
Gold Miners bullish percent index 85.7189.29
Dollar Index97.3897.32
Dow:Gold Ratio (BahaUS 44,532.00 Gold price, $3,324.00)13.3912.91
Current USA inflation rate (Dept. of Statistics)2.3%2.4%

Gold’s low of the week was $3,259.00 and the high was $3,365.00, now trading at around $3,330.00.

  • Gold Monthly:  is a hold. We bought in at $1,800.00 in October 2023. Funds flows into the metal are substantial.  Looking overbought, but it can hold that situation for a while. No sell signal yet. (Chart below). 
  • Gold Weekly:  (SELL 12 May 2025)  The sell indicators were very early, but I see no signs of recovery at this point. We have mixed signals, and I would be reluctant to enter a buy here. The indicators are looking more negative. (Chart below).
  • Gold Daily: (SELL 23 April 2025). In view of the spike high not being exceeded, the sell signal remains in place. The candles have turned up but no buy yet. The price has increased but is looking overbought and indicators negative.

$GOLD Gold - Continuous Contract (EOD) CME0 03 July 2025

The low for Silver this week was $35.75 and the high $37.07 trading around $36.64 at present.

  • Silver Monthly: Hold. (Buy:  $24.00 March 2024). Looking overbought but positive flows of cash into the metal..  
  • Silver Weekly: (BUY 14 April 2025). Looking overbought. No sell signal. (Chart below).
  • Silver Daily: SELL (24 June 2025).  Indicators confirming the sell.

$SILVER Silver - Continuous Contract (EOD) CME 03 July2025

Our partner has stock of both gold, silver and Goldbacks in our vaults available in Panama. Please contact us for more information.

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On the Stockcharts.com charts, the blue vertical lines are our proprietary system buy signals and the red vertical lines are system sell signals – for information purposes only

An interview with Josh, owner of Scottsdale Mint:

Please contact us to arrange the purchase and storage of your gold and silver requirements in a safe, insured location outside of your jurisdiction.

If you are interested in an overview of Fort Kobbe, you may want to have a look at this video: Mike Brown, Director, Fort Kobbe, International Vaults, A DotCom Magazine Exclusive Interview

This is my interpretation of the market and is not to be taken as financial advice. Before making any buy or sell decisions I recommend that you consult with your professional financial advisor.

Larry Simon
Larry Simon

Larry Simon was educated at the University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa and is an experienced businessman specialised in management, investment and finance.

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